Do stock market prices reflect a rising levels of debt?
To examine the differences between reported debt and market capitalization we have collected data about Market Cap and Debt since 2009:
From March 2009 to September 2010 the US Market Cap was less than debt. From September 2016 to June 2019 the US Market Cap exceeded debt and kept climbing. Based on the last date the US stock market was at least $8.7 trillion, or 28% above debt the supports the assets
In the next recession the US Market may decline by at least 28%.